Prediction markets centred on golf majors draw together a diverse participant base: dedicated golf enthusiasts with low handicaps, quantitative analysts specialising in strokes-gained modelling, and algorithmic traders who value golf majors for their unambiguous outcome definitions and abundant historical information.
2026 Golf Major Calendar
- The Masters (April): Augusta National — RESOLVED (check PolyGram for next year)
- US Open (June): Shinnecock Hills — Upcoming
- The Open Championship (July): Royal Troon — Upcoming
- PGA Championship (August): Quail Hollow — Upcoming
US Open 2026 Winner Odds
Live PolyGram settlement prices (May 2026):
- Scottie Scheffler: ~20-25% — Ranked first globally, commanding form throughout 2025-26
- Xander Schauffele: ~12-15% — Proven major champion, reliable performer
- Rory McIlroy: ~10-13% — Seeking US Open victory, excellent mid-iron execution
- Collin Morikawa: ~8-11% — Exceptional accuracy off the tee translates well to US Open conditions
- Viktor Hovland: ~6-9% — Proficient with extended irons
Golf Major Trading Edge
Prediction markets for golf majors present multiple avenues through which traders can gain advantage:
- Venue-specific patterns: Certain competitors display consistent outperformance or underperformance when competing at particular courses
- Strokes gained metrics: Strokes-gained data demonstrates robust correlation with major championship results — examine leaders in approach-shot categories on similar course designs
- Seasonal and meteorological factors: Major tournament scheduling and draw placement generate conditions-based advantages and disadvantages depending on wind patterns and weather forecasts
- Recency bias versus historical majors: Market pricing occasionally emphasises immediate performance trends at the expense of long-term major championship track records
FAQ
- When do golf major prediction markets resolve?
- Settlement occurs Sunday night following the concluding round, ordinarily within one day of the winner being confirmed via PGA Tour and R&A official announcements.
- Can I trade in-round during golf majors?
- PolyGram refreshes market quotations continuously throughout major championship rounds. Champion odds fluctuate in real time as competitors move up and down the leaderboard across all 72 holes.
- Are there cut-making markets for golf majors?
- Absolutely — PolyGram offers individual player cut-survival and missed-cut markets for major championships, enabling granular trading on whether each participant advances past the midway point.