Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Ethereum's price on 13 June 2026 remains entirely unresolved on Polymarket, where the contract currently trades at 0% implied probability across all price brackets. This reflects genuine uncertainty about which specific price level the market will settle on, rather than confidence that Ethereum will fail to trade altogether. The settlement window closes on 14 June at 04:00 UTC, capturing a single day's trading activity across major spot exchanges. Traders holding USDC on Polygon can enter positions via conditional tokens, with the contract's structure requiring precise price discovery rather than binary yes/no outcomes.
Historical precedent suggests extreme price volatility in crypto markets remains the norm. Ethereum moved from roughly $1,200 to $4,800 between January 2021 and November 2021, whilst the 2022 bear market saw it collapse to $880 before recovering. Single-day swings of 10–15% occur regularly during periods of macroeconomic stress, regulatory announcements, or major protocol upgrades. The current 0% probability likely reflects the market's inability to converge on a single price target rather than any structural barrier to Ethereum trading on that date.
Key catalysts between now and June 2026 include potential Federal Reserve policy shifts, Ethereum staking yield changes, and any major developments in competing layer-one blockchains. Regulatory clarity from the SEC or EU authorities could shift sentiment sharply. Traders should monitor Ethereum's correlation with broader equity markets and Bitcoin's price action, as these remain the strongest predictors of short-term crypto movements. Scheduled network upgrades or security incidents would also merit close attention.
Methodology
This page reviews What price will Ethereum hit on June 13? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade What price will Ethereum hit on June 13? on Polymarket UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Polymarket UK →