WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above 2026 on June 9?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

WTI crude oil will close on 9 June 2026 at a specific price level, with traders on Polymarket currently pricing the YES outcome at 0% through conditional tokens settled in USDC on Polygon. The market structure allows traders to buy and sell fractional exposure to the contract's outcome, with final settlement determined by the official WTI closing price on that date. At present, the crowd has assigned negligible probability to the price closing above the threshold, suggesting either a strike price well above current forward expectations or a structural imbalance in order flow.

Historical volatility in WTI pricing reveals that crude markets routinely swing 5–15% within single quarters based on OPEC+ production decisions, geopolitical supply disruptions, and macroeconomic demand signals. The 0% crowd probability here warrants scrutiny: similar extreme probabilities in energy markets have occasionally reflected either mispriced tail risk or a strike price set so far out of the money that rational traders see no edge. Comparable June settlement windows in prior years have seen WTI range between $65 and $95 per barrel depending on the prevailing cycle, though long-dated forecasts carry substantial uncertainty.

Traders monitoring this contract should track OPEC+ meeting outcomes, US inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration, and any geopolitical developments affecting Middle Eastern or Russian supply flows. Seasonal demand patterns typically influence crude prices through spring and early summer, whilst broader dollar strength and equity market sentiment shape longer-term positioning. The settlement window closing on 9 June 2026 means traders have until market close to adjust positions based on intraday price action and any late-breaking supply or demand news.

Methodology

This page reviews WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above 2026 on June 9? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.