Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket prices the 3DMAX v Liquid BO3 at 56% YES, putting Liquid only a little ahead on the contract while USDC buyers on Polygon are still treating it as a live two-sided book rather than a near-lock. In practical terms, that means the market is still sensitive to line-up confirmation, veto assumptions and any change to the scheduled lower-bracket quarter-final in CS Asia Championships Group B, which is meant to be decided before the 2026-05-21 09:00 UTC settlement window closes.

The current level sits below the sort of one-sided pricing seen in comparable CS2 head-to-heads when a bookmaker favourite is well established. Recent results add some context: 3DMAX beat Liquid 2-0 in ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 1 in March, even though Liquid were around 1.64 favourites at the time, a reminder that best-of-three upsets are common enough to keep mid-range probabilities intact. Liquipedia’s match log also shows 3DMAX have been active across S-Tier offline events this spring, which matters because Polymarket traders often reprice quickly when a team’s recent LAN form looks better than the market’s first read.

The main catalysts are simple but important: whether the fixture stays on schedule, whether either team changes roster or stand-in status, and how the map veto shapes up once official team news is posted. The market resolves directly from the match outcome, with a no-contest, cancellation or excessive delay pushing it to 50-50, so any tournament announcement, bracket adjustment or event-side postponement can move the contract as much as form does. Recent listings on Polymarket and Kalshi show the match is expected as a straight BO3, so traders are likely watching official CS Asia Championships updates and the final published match time rather than broader tournament narratives.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.