Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
52% | 48% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
52% | 48% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 52% YES | 48% NO |
Market context
AM Gaming and ex-RUBY face off in a Round 16 best-of-three Counter-Strike match within the CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs, scheduled for 4 June at 1:00PM ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices both outcomes at 50-50 on Polygon, with settlement conditional on a decisive result by 23:00 UTC on 4 June. Any cancellation, tie, or delay exceeding seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution, whilst a match that begins but remains incomplete due to technical forfeit follows CCT's published ruling framework.
Both squads operate within the competitive European Counter-Strike ecosystem where roster stability and recent form carry measurable weight. AM Gaming's track record in CCT tournaments reflects mid-tier consistency, whilst ex-RUBY—operating under a reformed roster identity—carries uncertainty regarding team cohesion and map pool depth. Historical CCT Europe playoffs show that seeding and momentum matter substantially; teams entering from lower brackets often face fatigue-related performance drops, though upsets remain common when tactical preparation outweighs raw ranking.
Traders should monitor CCT's official schedule for any postponements or format changes announced before the settlement window closes. Recent esports disruptions—including player illness and venue complications—have affected similar tournaments, making fixture confirmation critical. Additionally, any last-minute roster changes or stand-in announcements would alter the competitive balance significantly. The 50-50 pricing suggests the market perceives genuine parity, though information asymmetries regarding team preparation and internal dynamics remain substantial for both sides.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Eur… on Polymarket UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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