Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 100% ENCE | 0% Entropy |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% ENCE | 100% Entropy |
| Match Winner | 100% ENCE | 0% Entropy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: ENCE (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5) | 0% ENCE | 100% Entropy |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ENCE (-2.5) vs Entropy (+2.5) | 100% ENCE | 0% Entropy |
Market context
ENCE, the Finnish esports organisation, faces Entropy in a best-of-three Counter-Strike elimination match within the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group A on 4 June at 04:00 ET. The current Polymarket pricing reflects 100% implied probability for ENCE, meaning traders are pricing in near-certainty of the Finnish side advancing. This extreme skew suggests either substantial confidence in ENCE's superiority or minimal liquidity depth in the conditional token pair on Polygon, where USDC settlement occurs upon match resolution.
ENCE has established itself as a consistent performer in regional European qualifiers, whilst Entropy operates at a lower competitive tier within the CCT ecosystem. Historical precedent from prior CCT Europe Closed Qualifiers shows that seeding disparities of this magnitude typically materialise in the pricing well before match day. The 100% probability reading warrants scrutiny—such extreme odds often indicate thin order books rather than genuine certainty, particularly in secondary esports markets where volume concentrates around marquee tournaments rather than qualifier stages.
Traders should monitor the official CCT schedule for any postponements, which could trigger the 7-day delay clause leading to 50-50 resolution. Equipment issues, player availability, or broadcaster technical problems have previously caused qualifier rescheduling. Additionally, any last-minute roster changes or stand-in announcements would materially shift match dynamics, though such information typically emerges within 24 hours of fixture time. The settlement window closes at 14:00 UTC on 4 June, allowing roughly ten hours post-match for administrative confirmation before conditional token redemption on Polygon.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe C… on Polymarket UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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