Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
67% | 33% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
67% | 33% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 67% YES | 34% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 58% YES | 42% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Team Falcons are priced at 66% to beat Legacy in this BO3 upper bracket final, so the contract is already leaning towards Falcons but not by enough to treat the result as settled. On Polymarket, buyers of the YES side are effectively backing Falcons with USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens, with settlement tied to the match outcome rather than a broader tournament view.
That level sits in line with Falcons’ status as favourites in recent previews, including FreeTips and EGamersWorld, which both point to Falcons’ stronger baseline and even suggest a 2-1 result rather than a routine sweep. For traders, the key comparison is that a mid-60s price usually reflects a team that should win more often than not, but still leaves room for map volatility in a BO3, especially if the underdog can take an early pick and force a decider.
The main catalysts are straightforward: confirm the match actually starts within the settlement window, watch for any schedule changes from CS Asia Championships, and check whether either side announces stand-ins or late roster issues. Sofascore currently lists the fixture for 22 May at 03:00 UTC, while Kalshi’s related market references the Falcons-Legacy map market, which is a useful sign that the event is live and being tracked across venues. If the match is delayed beyond seven days, or is cancelled or unresolved, the Polymarket contract can settle 50-50, so timing matters as much as the winner.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Trade Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS As… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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