Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Falcons face Legacy in the CS Asia Championships Playoffs grand final, a best-of-five match scheduled for 24 May at 02:00 ET. Polymarket currently prices Team Falcons' victory at 76% implied probability, reflecting their standing as favourites in this regional championship decider. The conditional tokens settle on-chain via USDC on Polygon once the match concludes and result verification completes, with the settlement window closing at 12:00 UTC on 24 May regardless of match timing.

Team Falcons' positioning at three-quarters probability aligns with their recent regional form and roster stability. Legacy has demonstrated capability in Asia's competitive landscape but carries less consistent tournament pedigree than their opponents. Historical CS Asia Championships outcomes show favourites at this probability level typically reflect genuine skill differentials rather than market overconfidence, though upsets remain material given Counter-Strike's inherent volatility across best-of-five formats.

Traders should monitor official CS Asia Championships communications for any schedule shifts or technical delays, which could trigger the 7-day postponement clause leading to 50-50 resolution. Team roster confirmations and any last-minute stand-in announcements matter substantially—Counter-Strike's dependency on individual player performance means even single-player substitutions can shift match dynamics meaningfully. Liquidity conditions on Polymarket's Polygon deployment may tighten closer to the 02:00 ET start time, affecting entry and exit pricing for positions taken in the preceding hours.

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.