Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Polymarket is trading this PARIVISION v Lynn Vision BO3 as a near-certain PARIVISION win, with the contract sitting at 100% YES. On Polymarket’s Polygon-based conditional-token setup, that means USDC is being priced almost entirely towards a PARIVISION resolution, while any late disruption, postponement, or format issue would matter more than the headline price suggests. The market is for the lower-bracket semi in Group B at the CS Asia Championships, so the practical question for users is whether the match actually completes cleanly rather than whether the current favourite is broadly right.
The comparison point is straightforward: when a market is already pinned at the maximum, the remaining trading value usually comes from settlement risk, not match-up uncertainty. PARIVISION are well enough established in recent CS2 coverage to justify heavy favourite pricing, and Liquipedia lists the team around the top tier of the global standings. Recent event listings and VODs on PGL’s CS Asia Championships 2026 coverage show the match sitting inside an active Shanghai group-stage schedule, which reduces the chance of a long delay but does not remove it. In practice, traders should watch the tournament bracket, official broadcast schedule, and any organiser note on match order or technical pauses, because the market only pays out once a winner is determined; if the game is not played or is abandoned beyond the settlement window, the contract can still end 50-50 despite the current 100% screen.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - CS… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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