Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group D

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is currently pricing this Rune Eaters v Bushido Wildcats BO3 at a full certainty of Bushido Wildcats, with the contract effectively sitting at 100% YES on the Bushido side. For a trader, that means the conditional token on Polygon is behaving like a near-locked payout rather than a live two-way book: if the match result is confirmed in favour of Bushido Wildcats, USDC-settled YES exposure pays out; if the event is not cleanly completed within the settlement rules, the resolution can still move to 50-50. The market is tied to the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier Series #3 Group D match originally listed for 21 May at 1:00pm ET, so the key question is not just who is stronger, but whether the scheduled series is played and completed before the window closes.

Comparable esports markets usually only soften from 100% when there is real uncertainty around start times, roster changes, or stream confirmations, not when one team appears clearly favoured on form. Public match pages from Strafe and Sofascore both list the fixture for 21 May, and Strafe shows crowd support heavily tilted towards Bushido Wildcats, which is consistent with a market already priced as settled. That said, prediction-market prices can stay pinned even when underlying event risk remains, because the on-chain contract reflects the exact resolution rules rather than pre-match odds; a BO3 that starts but is abandoned, postponed too long, or later ruled void can still produce a different outcome from a straightforward Bushido win.

The main catalysts are operational rather than performance-related: final lobby confirmation, any last-minute roster swaps, and whether the organisers keep the series on schedule. Dust2.us and Sofascore both indicate the match is set for 21 May, but those listings can lag behind changes from the tournament operator. Traders should watch for official CCT announcements, team social posts about stand-ins, and whether the series actually reaches a completed best-of-three before the settlement deadline, since that determines whether the Polygon conditional token resolves to a winner or falls back to 50-50.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.