Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
The Sharks face FOKUS in an upper bracket semifinal of the BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs, a Counter-Strike competition scheduled for 23 May at 6:30AM ET. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 0% for Sharks, meaning the conditional token market reflects near-total confidence in a FOKUS victory or match non-completion. On-chain USDC settlement through Polygon will execute once the match concludes and resolves to either team, with the 50-50 clause triggering only if the match is cancelled outright, ends in a draw, or remains unplayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date.
The BC Game Masters Championship represents a mid-tier competitive Counter-Strike circuit, and historical precedent suggests upper bracket semifinals in such tournaments rarely favour lower-seeded or less-established rosters. FOKUS has demonstrated consistent performance in regional qualifiers throughout 2025, whilst Sharks' recent form and roster stability remain less documented in major tournament databases. The 0% probability reflects market participants' assessment that FOKUS enters as a clear favourite based on available team statistics and recent match records.
Traders should monitor official BC Game Masters communications for any schedule adjustments, as early morning ET start times occasionally shift due to regional broadcasting constraints or technical delays. Roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions would alter the underlying competitive dynamics, though such announcements typically emerge within 24 hours of match time. Server location and ping parity between teams can materially affect map outcomes in Counter-Strike, particularly on the pistol rounds that often determine series momentum.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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