Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

TYLOO, the Chinese esports organisation, face Legacy in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 group phase on 9 June at 10:30 AM ET. The conditional token market currently prices TYLOO's victory at 36 per cent on Polygon, reflecting Legacy as marginal favourites despite TYLOO's historical pedigree in international Counter-Strike competition. Settlement occurs via USDC on-chain, with the 50-50 resolution clause triggered only if the match is cancelled entirely, ends in a tie, or remains unplayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date.

TYLOO has competed at multiple Major tournaments but has struggled against established European and North American rosters in recent years, whilst Legacy—a Brazilian-origin squad—has demonstrated inconsistent form at international events. Historical precedent suggests that Chinese teams at IEM Cologne typically underperform relative to their domestic rankings, partly due to server latency and unfamiliar map pools. Legacy's qualification to Stage 2 indicates they cleared initial hurdles, though their win-rate against top-32 opposition remains below 45 per cent across 2025 tournaments.

Traders should monitor official ESL scheduling announcements for any fixture delays or roster changes announced before 9 June. Recent Counter-Strike roster instability—particularly among Brazilian organisations—means last-minute substitutions could alter expected performance. The match's position in the round-robin schedule may also influence team preparation intensity; teams already eliminated or mathematically qualified sometimes field experimental lineups. No major patch updates to Counter-Strike 2 are scheduled between now and settlement, reducing technical variables.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.