Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 0% 4ikibamboni | 100% Power Rangers |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% 4ikibamboni | 0% Power Rangers |
| Match Winner | 0% 4ikibamboni | 100% Power Rangers |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs 4ikibamboni (+1.5) | 0% Power Rangers | 100% 4ikibamboni |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing the **4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers** BO3 at **0% YES** right now, which means the contract is effectively marked as if 4ikibamboni have no path to a win before settlement. On Polygon, the market is settled through conditional tokens funded in USDC, so the only thing that matters is whether the match is officially won by 4ikibamboni, won by Power Rangers, or falls into one of the contract’s fallback outcomes.
The event sits inside **European Pro League Season 38**, an online Dota 2 tournament running from **4 June to 21 June 2026**, with Liquipedia and GosuGamers both listing this fixture as a **best-of-three playoff** match between the two teams.[1][2] For context, the raw pricing signal matters more than the name recognition: a 0% quote usually reflects either extremely late or absent liquidity, an aggressively one-sided book elsewhere, or a market that has effectively drifted to a near-certain opposite outcome. The market description also means a non-result is not a normal loss case; if the game is cancelled, never played, ends level, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner, the contract resolves **50-50** rather than to either side.
For traders, the main catalysts are not broad form narratives but operational ones: whether the upper-bracket final actually starts on schedule, whether the lobby goes live, whether the BO3 is completed, and whether any official tournament rescheduling pushes settlement into the fallback window. Live listings and stream activity suggest the match is on the board today, but the practical read is still about confirmation from tournament organisers and the in-game result rather than pre-match chatter.[2][3] If the series is delayed, interrupted, or replayed, the contract’s conditional-token mechanics make the final settlement rule, not the scoreboard at one point in time, the key driver.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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