LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D

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Active sub-markets

Market context

BOMBA Team face Anubis Gaming in a best-of-three elimination match within EMEA Masters Group D on 11 June at 2:00PM ET. The current Polymarket pricing reflects zero probability for BOMBA, suggesting the conditional token market has priced in an Anubis victory with near-certainty. On Polygon, USDC holders backing BOMBA would receive their full stake only if the Turkish organisation advances; the inverse applies for Anubis positions. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on 11 June, creating a tight window for resolution once the match concludes.

EMEA Masters serves as a secondary competitive tier for European and regional League of Legends teams, with elimination matches typically producing decisive outcomes. Historical precedent from similar regional tournaments shows that 0% probability pricing often reflects significant roster or seeding disparities rather than genuine uncertainty. Teams entering elimination rounds from weaker group positions frequently face established favourites; the current market structure suggests Anubis enters as the clear favourite, likely based on prior group performance or head-to-head records.

Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters scheduling confirmations and any last-minute roster announcements through Riot's esports channels, particularly given the tight settlement window. Fixture delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating a secondary outcome path. Any technical issues during the match—such as client crashes or extended pauses—could affect the completion conditions outlined in the market rules, though Riot typically awards rounds based on game state rather than cancelling matches outright.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.