LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Dplus KIA’s best-of-three against HANJIN BRION in the LCK is trading at about 1% for a BRION upset, which implies the market is pricing this as a near-lock for DK. On Polymarket, that means USDC is being committed on Polygon to conditional tokens that settle only if the match result is confirmed by the end of the window. The current price is not just a view on team strength; it also reflects the contract’s narrow outcome set, where cancellation, a tie, or an unresolved delay would send it to 50-50 rather than a simple win/loss outcome.

The historical frame is clear: DK have dominated the head-to-head, with Sheep Esports listing two wins for Dplus Kia and none for BRION in their recent meetings. Leaguepedia and match history pages also show the sides have met repeatedly across LCK seasons, with DK typically coming out ahead. That record matters because a 1% line leaves almost no room for a routine series upset; to justify a payout, BRION would need to overcome both the roster and form gap, not just nick a single map. In practical terms, the market is treating this as a series where the base case is DK control from draft through objectives.

Traders should still watch for the usual catalysts: official LCK start-time changes, any last-minute roster or substitute notices, and whether the series is actually played within the settlement window ending 2026-05-21T16:10:00Z. Sofascore lists the match for 21 May at 08:00 UTC, while the market description had it initially scheduled for 4:00AM ET, so confirmation of the start and completion is the main operational risk. If the series is delayed, abandoned, or forfeited, the conditional token outcome can change regardless of the on-paper mismatch.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.