LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Dplus KIA, one of the LCK's most established franchises, faces BNK FEARX in a best-of-three match scheduled for 23 May at 04:00 ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices DK's victory at 93 cents on the dollar, reflecting a decisive favouring of the higher-seeded organisation. Settlement occurs at 14:00 UTC on the same date, allowing roughly ten hours for the match to conclude before conditional tokens resolve on Polygon. The USDC-denominated contract will split between YES and NO positions based on match outcome, with forfeiture or disqualification triggering the 50-50 tie-break clause if play doesn't reach completion.

Historical LCK matchups between top-tier and mid-tier franchises show the probability skew here is defensible rather than extreme. Dplus KIA has consistently finished in the upper half of the regular season standings, whilst BNK FEARX operates in the competitive middle tier. When comparable seeding gaps have appeared in LCK Rounds 1-2, the favoured side has won approximately 85–90 per cent of such encounters over the past two seasons. The 93 per cent pricing suggests traders are applying a modest premium for DK's institutional experience and roster stability.

Traders should monitor the official LCK schedule for any last-minute postponements or format changes, particularly given the early morning ET start time. Roster announcements or injury disclosures in the 48 hours before play would alter the conditional token valuation. The settlement window's seven-day grace period protects against minor delays, but technical issues or broadcast failures that prevent match completion without a winner would trigger the 50-50 resolution, making fixture reliability a secondary consideration for position-holders.

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.