Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The LCK Challengers League represents South Korea's secondary competitive League of Legends circuit, where academy rosters and emerging talent compete for promotion pathways into the main LCK. Dplus KIA Challengers and Hanwha Life Esports Challengers are scheduled to meet in a best-of-three series during Rounds 1-2, with the match window opening 25 May 2026 at 06:00 UTC. On Polymarket, this contract currently settles at 100% YES, reflecting conditional token pricing where USDC collateral on Polygon underpins both outcome branches—one resolving if Dplus KIA wins, the other if Hanwha Life prevails. The settlement mechanism closes 11:00 UTC on the same date, allowing approximately five hours post-scheduled start for match completion and result confirmation.
Historically, Challengers League fixtures carry execution risk that standard LCK matches do not. Postponements, technical issues, or roster unavailability have delayed secondary-circuit matches beyond their scheduled windows. The 100% probability reflects not certainty of Dplus KIA victory but rather near-complete market confidence that a match will occur and produce a decisive outcome within the settlement window. Comparable Challengers fixtures typically conclude within three to four hours, well within the seven-day grace period specified in the market's cancellation clause.
Traders monitoring this contract should track official LCK Challengers scheduling announcements and team roster confirmations through the Korea e-Sports Association channels. Recent Challengers seasons have maintained consistent scheduling discipline, though broadcast delays occasionally compress match windows. Any announcement of player unavailability, venue changes, or broadcast rescheduling would materially alter the probability of timely resolution.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Ch… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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