Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Hanwha Life Esports play BNK FEARX in an LCK best-of-three, and Polymarket is pricing the contract at 100% for a Hanwha Life win. On the platform, that means traders are effectively assigning no meaningful chance to any other settlement outcome before the 14:00 UTC expiry. Because the market settles in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens, the listed price reflects current trader consensus rather than bookmaker-style margins, and the contract only resolves to BNK FEARX or Hanwha Life Esports if the series is completed within the settlement rules.
That 100% reading should be treated in context of recent form and matchup history, not as proof the series is already decided. Available previews describe BNK FEARX as particularly weak early, which gives Hanwha Life a clear route to control the series if they convert lanes into objective pressure. In comparable LCK and international markets, prices this extreme have usually implied either a strong team edge or a near-certainty that the match will be played and resolved cleanly; they have also sometimes reflected thin liquidity late in the market rather than genuine certainty. On a conditional-token market, any disruption to the schedule matters as much as the in-game result.
The main catalysts are administrative rather than tactical: whether the match starts on time, whether the official LCK schedule holds, and whether there is any postponement, technical issue, or format change that could push settlement outside the seven-day window and force a 50-50 outcome. Traders should also watch official league communications and match-page updates from sources such as Sofascore, which is already listing the fixture, alongside any LCK broadcast notices. If the series begins but cannot be completed, the specific completion rules in the market description will determine whether a winner is still declared.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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