Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 4? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 4? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 4? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 4? | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Invictus Gaming face ThunderTalk Gaming in a best-of-five League of Legends match within the LPL Play-In bracket, scheduled for 23 May at 05:00 ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices Invictus Gaming's victory at 51%, reflecting near-parity between the two squads on the conditional token market. Settlement hinges on a decisive result within the seven-day window; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved delay triggers a 50-50 split of USDC collateral across both outcome tokens on Polygon.
Invictus Gaming's recent form provides the primary historical anchor for reading this probability. The organisation has cycled through roster adjustments ahead of the Play-In stage, with mixed results in regional qualifiers suggesting vulnerability against prepared opponents. ThunderTalk Gaming, conversely, has demonstrated consistency in lower-tier LPL competition, though their track record against established franchises remains sparse. Previous Play-In matchups involving either squad have typically favoured teams with stable five-man rosters and recent scrim data, a factor that tilts slightly toward Invictus given their infrastructure.
Traders should monitor LPL official announcements regarding any last-minute roster confirmations or scheduling changes, particularly given the early morning ET kickoff time which occasionally triggers logistical complications. Team practice schedules and coach statements released 48 hours before the match often signal confidence levels that move conditional token prices. The broader LPL playoff bracket structure may also influence team preparation intensity; if either squad's Play-In outcome determines seeding implications, motivation shifts accordingly.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - L… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →