LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this KT Rolster v Gen.G BO3 at 50% YES, so the contract is effectively saying the market is split on which side will win under LCK Rounds 1-2 conditions. On Polymarket, buyers are holding USDC on Polygon and the event settles through conditional tokens, so the key question is not who looks stronger in theory, but which roster actually finishes the scheduled match with a clear winner before the resolution window closes.

The head-to-head record gives traders a useful frame. Gen.G and KT have traded blows across recent LCK meetings, including a 2-0 Gen.G win and a 2-1 KT win in the 2026 season results surfaced by match trackers such as BO3.gg and Sheep Esports. That sort of split history is consistent with a near-even price: Gen.G may carry the stronger overall reputation, but KT have already shown they can take a series from them, which limits the case for a heavy favourite at this number.

The main catalysts are straightforward: final confirmation that the series starts on 22 May, any schedule changes, and whether both teams field their expected line-ups. The market also has a built-in safety valve: if the match is cancelled, ends level, or is delayed more than seven days without a winner, it resolves 50-50, so traders should watch official LCK notices as well as team and organiser posts closely. If the series begins but ends via forfeit or walkover, the settlement will turn on the formal winner rather than in-game completion.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.