Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game Handicap: TLNP (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this LFL Playoffs BO3 at 0% YES, which on the Polygon-based contract means the market is effectively shut against a TLN Pirates win in USDC terms unless fresh trading appears before the 22:00 UTC settlement window closes. For a user holding conditional tokens, that is the same as saying the crowd sees Karmine Corp Blue as the only live side, with the contract still depending on a completed official result rather than the scoreline alone.
That reading fits the recent record shown in available match pages: TLN Pirates already beat Karmine Corp Blue 1–0 earlier in the split, but this market is for a playoff best-of-three, where prior regular-season or opening-round results do not determine settlement. In LoL playoff markets, 0% quotes often reflect either a match that has effectively been concluded off-chain, or a consensus that one team’s path has been eliminated by bracket results rather than pure in-game strength. Comparable cases on prediction markets can stay pinned until a verified series result is posted by the organiser or reflected across major esports data feeds.
The main catalysts now are simple: whether the LFL officially publishes the series result, whether the fixture was completed within the settlement window, and whether any schedule change pushes the market into its 50-50 fallback rules. Traders should watch the tournament page and live match aggregators such as Liquipedia, Sheep Esports, and Flashscore for confirmation of map-by-map completion or abandonment. If the series has not started, been suspended, or is moved beyond seven days from the scheduled date without a winner, resolution may default away from either team and into the contract’s tie treatment.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Pl… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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