Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 4 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
FUT Esports face Gentle Mates in an upper bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2, with the match scheduled for 23 May at 11:00 AM ET. The winner advances directly to the finals bracket; the loser drops to the lower bracket. On Polymarket, conditional USDC tokens on Polygon currently price FUT Esports at zero, reflecting either extreme confidence in Gentle Mates or minimal liquidity in this particular contract pair. Settlement occurs at 21:00 UTC on 23 May, giving traders a narrow window between match conclusion and resolution.
FUT Esports and Gentle Mates both operate within the competitive EMEA Valorant ecosystem, though historical matchup data between these specific rosters remains sparse in public records. Comparable qualifier matches at this stage typically feature teams with established LAN credentials; however, roster changes and scrim performance often diverge from published rankings. The 0% implied probability suggests either the market has collapsed due to low volume, or traders hold near-certain information about one team's participation status. Matches at this stage rarely cancel outright, but scheduling delays beyond seven days would trigger a 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual outcome.
Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup communications for any last-minute roster changes, visa complications, or technical issues affecting either team's ability to compete. Recent qualifier tournaments have proceeded largely on schedule, though equipment failures and internet connectivity issues at regional hubs have occasionally forced brief postponements. The settlement window's precision—ending exactly at match completion time—means any significant delay beyond the scheduled window could materially alter the contract's resolution conditions.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO5) - Esport… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →