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Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

50% YES 50% NO Volume: $714K Liquidity: $981K Closes: 25 May 2026
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Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

Market context

Leviatán Esports and G2 Esports will contest the VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs grand final in a best-of-five Valorant match, originally scheduled for 24 May at 22:00 UTC. The Polymarket contract currently prices both teams at 50-50 odds, reflecting genuine uncertainty about the outcome. Settlement hinges on a decisive result by 03:00 UTC on 25 May; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days triggers a split-pool resolution.

Leviatán enters as the region's most consistent performer this season, having dominated the regular season standings and maintained a strong map pool across diverse meta shifts. G2, by contrast, qualified through a lower-bracket run and has shown volatility in recent fixtures, though their peak performances rival any team in the Americas. Historical precedent suggests that grand-final positioning—particularly first-seed advantage—correlates with approximately 55–60% win probability in VCT best-of-fives, yet G2's lower-bracket pedigree and recent upset victories complicate straightforward favouritism.

Traders should monitor team roster announcements and scrim results in the 48 hours preceding the match; both organisations occasionally field adjusted lineups for playoffs. Venue conditions and technical infrastructure at the broadcast facility matter for a best-of-five's duration and potential delays. The VCT Americas official broadcast schedule and any emergency postponement notices from Riot Games will determine whether the match settles on time. Current USDC liquidity on Polygon suggests moderate depth; conditional token mechanics mean early position-takers face execution risk if the match is rescheduled beyond the settlement window.

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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