Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Leviatán Esports face NRG in a lower bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2 on 30 May at 11:00PM ET. The conditional token pricing on Polygon currently values a Leviatán victory at 17 cents per USDC staked, implying roughly an 83–17 split favouring NRG. This is a best-of-three encounter where either team advances deeper into the qualifier bracket; the loser exits the tournament entirely.
Leviatán have historically underperformed against top-tier North American rosters, whilst NRG maintain a stronger track record in international Valorant competition and roster stability. However, Leviatán's recent domestic performances in Latin American circuits have shown incremental improvement in map pool depth and utility usage. The 17% probability reflects market confidence in NRG's structural advantages rather than a decisive skill gap that cannot be bridged in a single match.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the scheduled start time, as Valorant lineups occasionally shift for qualifier events. Stream availability and official bracket confirmation from the Esports World Cup organisers will clarify whether the match proceeds as scheduled; delays beyond 7 days trigger the 50–50 resolution clause. Recent fixture delays in regional qualifiers have been minimal, though technical issues during live play remain a settlement consideration given the conditional token mechanics on Polygon.
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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