Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Team Vitality | 0% FUT Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Team Vitality | 0% FUT Esports |
| Match Winner | 100% Team Vitality | 0% FUT Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 100% Team Vitality | 0% FUT Esports |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Team Vitality face FUT Esports in a lower bracket quarterfinal of the VCT Masters London playoffs on 16 June, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The match is a best-of-three format. On Polymarket, conditional USDC tokens on Polygon currently price this outcome at 100%, reflecting near-certainty that the match will occur and resolve to one of the two teams rather than void conditions (cancellation, tie, or seven-day delay without completion).
Vitality's recent form and roster stability offer context for reading this probability. The French organisation has maintained consistent top-eight finishes across VCT international events this year, whilst FUT Esports—a Brazilian squad—qualified for Masters London but has faced inconsistency in regional competition. Historical precedent suggests lower bracket matches at VCT Masters events proceed as scheduled; cancellations or extended delays are rare, and the 100% pricing reflects that baseline reliability rather than confidence in a particular team's victory.
Traders should monitor official VCT scheduling updates and any player availability announcements in the 48 hours before the 1:00 PM ET start time. Venue or technical issues at the London venue could trigger delays; the seven-day void threshold means matches postponed beyond 23 June without resolution would flip the contract to 50-50. Roster changes or last-minute substitutions, whilst uncommon at this stage, occasionally affect match outcomes and would not trigger void conditions but could shift conditional token valuations if announced beforehand.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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