Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The Counter-Strike matchup between ex-RUBY and Ursa in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage is currently priced at 0% on Polymarket, reflecting either extreme confidence in Ursa or minimal liquidity in the USDC pool on Polygon. The best-of-three fixture is scheduled for 25 May at 07:00 ET, with settlement conditional on a decisive outcome within seven days. The 0% pricing suggests traders have either not yet positioned in this contract or are treating ex-RUBY's chances as negligible relative to Ursa's capabilities.
Ex-RUBY and Ursa operate at different tiers within European Counter-Strike's competitive ladder. Ursa has established itself as a consistent mid-tier competitor in regional tournaments, whilst ex-RUBY's roster composition and recent form remain less documented in major circuit results. Historical pricing patterns for similarly-matched regional qualifiers show that 0% probabilities often reflect genuine skill gaps rather than market inefficiency, particularly when one team has demonstrable tournament credentials and the other lacks recent high-profile appearances.
The settlement mechanism carries specific risk: if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without completion, or ends in a tie, the conditional tokens resolve 50-50 across both outcomes. Traders should monitor the BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 schedule for any postponements or fixture changes, as regional tournaments occasionally shift dates due to player availability or technical issues. The narrow seven-day window means any delay approaching that threshold could materially alter the contract's value independent of actual competitive performance.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Mast… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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