# of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1?

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing the next MrBeast Gaming upload at **0% YES** on this day-one views contract, which means the market is effectively saying a first-24-hour count landing in a payable bracket is not yet expected. On Polymarket, that position is held in **USDC** on **Polygon**, with outcome exposure represented through conditional tokens rather than a traditional sportsbook line, so the price reflects how traders are marking the odds against the actual YouTube view tally.

The main comparison for reading this market is the channel’s own recent performance and upload cadence. MrBeast Gaming’s YouTube page says there is a new MrBeast or MrBeast Gaming video every Saturday at noon Eastern time, and one recent upload there had **10 million views in 22 hours**, showing that the channel can still clear very large day-one totals when a video is published on schedule.[3] Third-party channel trackers also put MrBeast Gaming at roughly **57.5 million subscribers** and more than **11 billion total views**, which supports the idea that any upload can accumulate views quickly if it is promoted by the channel’s core audience.[5][7]

For a trader, the practical catalysts are straightforward: whether a video is posted before the market’s June 30 cutoff, whether it lands in the usual Saturday slot, and whether the title, thumbnail, or topic looks broadly mass-market enough to pull first-day traffic. The market only resolves after the full 24-hour window, so an early spike is not enough on its own, and if no upload appears by the deadline the contract goes to the lowest bracket by rule. The account’s own channel page is the cleanest live signal for upload timing, while tools such as Viewstats can help track whether a new release is accelerating or stalling in real time.[1][3][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.