# of views of MrBeast video day 5?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this MrBeast 120-hour views contract at 0% for the YES side, which means the market is effectively saying the video is not expected to land in the listed bracket at settlement. On Polymarket, traders are buying and selling conditional tokens on Polygon using USDC, so the live price is the crowd’s current estimate of where the YouTube views counter will sit once the five-day window closes and the market resolves from MrBeast’s channel itself.

The comparison set matters because MrBeast videos often start fast, but day-five totals can still move materially depending on title performance, recommendation strength and any late platform uplift. Social Blade and vidIQ both show his channel remains capable of multi-million daily view accumulation, yet that does not remove bracket risk if the market’s range is tight. The fact that the current price is pinned at 0% suggests traders think the observed trajectory is already well outside the targeted band, or that the higher-probability bands have become crowded out by accumulated evidence.

For catalysts, the main variables are simple: any change in upload timing, a second upload, a title or thumbnail edit, or unusually strong external pickup can alter the five-day counter before the 120-hour deadline. A recent Times of India report noted MrBeast pushing back on claims that his views had fallen by 50%, which is relevant only as context for how closely his channel performance is being watched; the settlement source remains the public YouTube counter, not commentary. Traders should watch the channel directly, because Polymarket will settle on the bracket that matches the reported view total at the end of the window, rounding up if the count falls exactly on a boundary.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.