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Fed decision in April?

0% YES 100% NO

Politics prediction market · Vol. $201.5M

Volume
$201.5M
Liquidity
$12.7M
Closes
29 April 2026

Market Outcomes

50+ bps decrease 0% YES100% NO
25 bps decrease 0% YES100% NO
No change 100% YES0% NO
25+ bps increase 0% YES100% NO

What is this market?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed optio

Current Probability

The Polymarket market "Fed decision in April?" is currently trading at 0% YES. This means thousands of traders worldwide estimate the probability of this outcome at 0%.

These prices are generated by real capital (USDC) on the Polygon network — not by bookmaker margins. They reflect the aggregated collective judgement of informed market participants.

Why this market matters

Prediction markets like this one let informed participants put real money behind their views. Politics markets on Polymarket are characterised by deep liquidity and fast resolution. This market closes on 29 April 2026 with automatic USDC settlement.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do I trade this market? Visit PolyGram, create an account, deposit USDC, and buy YES or NO shares. Trading takes minutes.

What happens at resolution? USDC payouts are automatically processed via smart contract on Polygon — typically within minutes of the event resolving.

Is this legal? Prediction market regulations vary by jurisdiction. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.