US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
Yes 50%
No 50%
Vol. $68.1M
Politics prediction market · Vol. $607K
| Joe / Biden 20+ times | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Percent 20+ times | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Transgender | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Job 10+ times | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Nuclear 3+ times | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Stock market / 401(k) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit The Villages on May 1, 2026, 3PM ET (https://www.dailycommercial.com/story/news/local/2026/04/28/president-trump-set-to-visit-the-villages-in-florida-on-may-1-2026/89835008007/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during events at The Villages scheduled for May 1, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count towa
The Polymarket market "What will Trump say during remarks at The Villages?" is currently trading at 100% YES. This means thousands of traders worldwide estimate the probability of this outcome at 100%.
These prices are generated by real capital (USDC) on the Polygon network — not by bookmaker margins. They reflect the aggregated collective judgement of informed market participants.
Prediction markets like this one let informed participants put real money behind their views. Politics markets on Polymarket are characterised by deep liquidity and fast resolution. This market closes on 1 May 2026 with automatic USDC settlement.
How do I trade this market? Visit PolyGram, create an account, deposit USDC, and buy YES or NO shares. Trading takes minutes.
What happens at resolution? USDC payouts are automatically processed via smart contract on Polygon — typically within minutes of the event resolving.
Is this legal? Prediction market regulations vary by jurisdiction. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
Live data from Polymarket · updated hourly