Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Al Ittihad’s Saudi Pro League match with Al Qadsiyah is priced at 0% YES on Polymarket, meaning the contract is effectively trading at a near-certain NO on the USDC- and Polygon-based conditional token. That zero bid does not speak to the football alone; it usually reflects the market’s view that the settlement condition cannot now be met inside the contract’s window, with the reported end time already past. In practice, traders are responding to the on-chain payout rules rather than the underlying fixture in isolation.

For football context, Al Ittihad have typically had the stronger head-to-head record. AiScore’s H2H summary gives them 18 wins from 29 meetings since 2005, with Al Qadsiyah taking four and nine draws, and the recent sample still leans Al Ittihad’s way. That said, recent league results have not been one-sided: FotMob notes Al Qadsiyah beat Al Ittihad 2-1 earlier in the campaign, while ESPN records Al Ittihad’s 3-1 win in the 2025 meeting. For a market trading at 0%, those comparable results matter less than the timing of settlement, but they frame how the teams would normally be priced if the window were open.

A trader should watch for any official league or Polymarket status updates, line-up confirmations and whether the fixture actually kicks off inside the settlement period. FOX Sports’ match boxscore and the live score services show the game listed for 21 May 2026, but the contract’s end time is 2026-05-21T18:00:00Z, which is a key dependency: if the match starts or settles after that, the token outcome is driven by the timestamp rules rather than the final score. In markets like this, schedule changes, postponements and any dispute over the official kick-off time are the main catalysts.

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Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.