Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Coritiba FBC (-1.5) | 84% YES | 16% NO |
| EC Bahia (-1.5) | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Coritiba FBC (-2.5) | 18% YES | 82% NO |
| EC Bahia (-2.5) | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Coritiba and Bahia meet on 25 May in a Brazil Série A fixture scheduled for 19:00 ET. The market in question—priced at 7% on Polymarket today—concerns additional betting markets becoming available for this match. On-chain, the YES position settles if supplementary markets (such as first goalscorer, correct score, or player performance props) launch before the settlement window closes on 25 May at 23:00 UTC. Traders holding conditional tokens on Polygon are effectively wagering on Polymarket's operational decisions and market-expansion strategy rather than the match outcome itself.
Historical precedent suggests Polymarket expands its sports coverage selectively. Major European leagues and high-liquidity fixtures routinely attract clustered market launches, whilst lower-profile domestic competitions in South America see sparser secondary offerings. Brazil Série A games typically receive baseline coverage—match result, over/under goals—but additional props depend on anticipated trading volume and platform capacity. The 7% probability reflects scepticism that this particular fixture warrants the operational overhead of launching multiple derivative markets.
Catalysts centre on Polymarket's internal scheduling and resource allocation. No recent announcements from the platform indicate expanded Brazil Série A coverage for May fixtures. The match's competitive context—neither Coritiba nor Bahia currently occupies a title-contention position—may influence whether traders expect heightened interest. Monitoring Polymarket's market calendar and any platform updates regarding Latin American sports expansion in late May will clarify the likelihood of additional markets materialising before settlement.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $211K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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