Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Shanghai Haigang and Tianjin Jinmen Hu are scheduled to meet in the Chinese Super League on 23 May at 7:00 AM ET. The market currently prices at 0% YES on Polygon, reflecting either minimal liquidity in this particular conditional token or genuine consensus that additional markets for this fixture will not materialise. Settlement depends on whether Polymarket creates supplementary betting contracts beyond standard match outcomes—a decision tied to platform demand and operational capacity rather than the sporting result itself.
Historical precedent suggests Chinese Super League fixtures rarely generate multiple market clusters on Polymarket. Most CSL games settle through single win/draw/loss contracts or occasional over/under totals. The 0% pricing reflects this pattern: traders have not signalled sufficient appetite for exotic derivatives or secondary markets on this particular matchup. Comparable Shanghai and Tianjin derbies have similarly failed to attract derivative markets, indicating structural rather than event-specific factors driving the probability.
Catalysts for movement centre on Polymarket's operational decisions in the 48 hours before kickoff. Platform activity around CSL games has fluctuated with Chinese football's international visibility; recent coverage of the Super League's restructuring efforts may influence whether Polymarket allocates resources to expanded market creation. Fixture confirmation and team sheet announcements typically occur 24–36 hours prior, though these affect underlying match odds rather than the meta-question of whether additional markets launch. Traders monitoring this contract should track Polymarket's general CSL activity levels and any platform announcements regarding Chinese football coverage expansion.
Methodology
This page reviews Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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