Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Liaoning Tieren FC | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Polymarket currently prices a Zhejiang Zhiye victory in their 24 May 2026 Chinese Super League fixture against Liaoning Tieren at zero, reflecting either extreme confidence in a non-Zhejiang outcome or thin liquidity in this particular conditional token pair on Polygon. The match itself carries standard CSL weight—three points for a win, zero for a loss—but the settlement mechanics here depend on official CSL match records and timely reporting through the oracle feed that validates the final scoreline before the 11:35 UTC window closes.
Chinese Super League volatility has historically punished overconfident pricing in lower-profile matchups. Zhejiang Zhiye and Liaoning Tieren occupy mid-table territory in recent seasons, neither commanding the consistent backing that Shanghai or Beijing clubs receive. Teams in this band experience fixture congestion, squad rotation, and injury cascades that can flip expected outcomes sharply. The 0% pricing suggests either a data gap in the market's assessment of Zhejiang's form or an absence of USDC depth willing to back them; comparable mid-tier CSL derbies have settled with upset winners at 30–40% implied probability when properly seeded.
Traders should monitor official CSL fixture confirmations and any late squad announcements in the fortnight before 24 May. Zhejiang's domestic cup involvement and Liaoning's recent results in April–May will signal injury status and tactical priorities. CSL scheduling sometimes shifts fixtures; confirmation of the Sunday slot and venue remains a prerequisite before meaningful position-building. The settlement oracle's timeliness will be critical given the tight 11:35 UTC window—delays in official reporting have previously extended resolution periods.
Methodology
This page reviews Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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