Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Royal Challengers Bengaluru face Gujarat Titans on 31 May 2026 in the Indian Premier League, with the conditional token currently priced at 80 cents on Polygon, implying an 80% probability that RCB wins outright or via any on-field tiebreak mechanism. The USDC settlement will execute against the ESPN Cricinfo official result once the match concludes, treating DLS adjustments, Super Overs, and any competition-sanctioned resolution as ordinary wins for resolution purposes.

RCB's historical record against Gujarat provides limited direct precedent—the Titans entered the IPL in 2022, making their head-to-head record relatively shallow compared to established rivalries. However, RCB's home-ground advantage at the M. Chinnaswamy Stadium in Bengaluru typically correlates with stronger performance metrics; the venue's high-altitude dynamics and shorter boundaries have favoured batting-heavy lineups. Gujarat's 2022–2024 seasons showed competitive consistency, reaching playoffs in their debut year, which tempers any assumption of RCB dominance based solely on the 80% pricing.

Key variables traders should monitor include team composition announcements closer to the match date, injury updates to key players (particularly RCB's batting core and Gujarat's bowling attack), and weather forecasts for late May in Bengaluru, which can affect pitch behaviour and dew conditions in evening fixtures. The IPL's scheduling occasionally shifts matches due to logistical constraints; confirmation of the 31 May date and venue should be verified against official IPL communications. Recent form in the weeks preceding the fixture will also influence conditional token repricing, as mid-season momentum often diverges from pre-tournament projections.

Methodology

We track Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.