T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies

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Market context

The conditional token pair for this Ireland versus West Indies women's T20 fixture on 1 June 2026 is trading at 96 cents YES on Polygon, implying near-certainty that the match will be played and settled. The market reflects confidence in fixture completion within the tri-series format, where three teams rotate through group-stage encounters. Settlement hinges on ESPN Cricinfo's final match result, with any on-field resolution mechanism—including Super Over tiebreaks—treated as a decisive outcome rather than a void condition.

Women's T20 internationals between these sides show volatile results despite Ireland's recent upward trajectory in rankings. West Indies won their last bilateral T20 series against Ireland in 2022, though Ireland has since strengthened their squad depth and domestic pipeline. The 96% probability reflects not confidence in a particular outcome but rather the high likelihood that weather, visa clearance, and ground availability will permit the match to occur. Tri-series formats in women's cricket have historically maintained fixture integrity; cancellations are rare once venues and dates are confirmed by the ICC or host boards.

Traders should monitor announcements from Cricket Ireland and the West Indies Cricket Board regarding squad confirmation and any ground-condition updates closer to June. The settlement window closes 11:00 UTC on 8 June, allowing two days post-match for ESPN Cricinfo to publish final results. Fixture postponements due to weather in Irish venues are possible but typically managed through reserve days within tri-series structures. Any last-minute administrative changes to the tri-series schedule would be announced through official ICC channels and would affect the YES token price materially.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.