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Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

25 outcomes · leader: Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 at 72%

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 72% Outcomes: 25 Runner-up: 64% Σ 1172% Volume: $315K 24h volume: $315K Liquidity: $253K Opened: 4 Jun 2026 Closes: 5 Jun 2026

Resolution criteria: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between NRG and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against BIG. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win the match against NRG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is n

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Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Market statistics

Total volume
$315K
24h volume
$315K
Liquidity
$253K
Open interest
$298K

Available prediction outcomes (25)

Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.

#1 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
Liq $195
72% Trade →
#2 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5
Liq $82
64% Trade →
#3 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)
Liq $329
63% Trade →
#4 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
Liq $155
59% Trade →
#5 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Liq $363
56% Trade →
#6 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)
Liq $433
54% Trade →
#7 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
Liq $22
53% Trade →
#8 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5
Liq $5
52% Trade →
#9 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Liq $5
52% Trade →
#10 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Liq $303
49% Trade →
#11 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)
Vol $31 · 24h $31
48% Trade →
#12 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)
Liq $22
47% Trade →
#13 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)
Liq $23
47% Trade →
#14 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)
Liq $288
47% Trade →
#15 O/U 2.5 Games
O/U 2.5 Games
Vol $332 · 24h $332
45% Trade →
#16 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)
Liq $22
45% Trade →
#17 Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)
Vol $44K · 24h $44K
44% Trade →
#18 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)
Liq $343
40% Trade →
#19 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5
Liq $151
40% Trade →
#20 Map 2 Winner
Map 2 Winner
Vol $2K · 24h $2K
39% Trade →
#21 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5
Liq $241
36% Trade →
#22 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs BIG (+2.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs BIG (+2.5)
Liq $241
34% Trade →
#23 Map 1 Winner
Map 1 Winner
Vol $1K · 24h $1K
32% Trade →
#24 Match Winner
Match Winner
Vol $269K · 24h $269K
28% Trade →
#25 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)
Liq $184
28% Trade →

Market context

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between NRG and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against BIG. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win the match against NRG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is n

Wikipedia Context

  • Counter-Strike: Global Offensive
    Counter-Strike: Global Offensive

    Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS:GO) is a multiplayer tactical first-person shooter developed by Valve and Hidden Path Entertainment. It is the fourth game in the Counter-Strike series. Developed for over two years, Global Offensive was released for OS X, PlayStation 3, Windows, and Xbox 360 in August 2012, and for Linux in 2014. In December 2018, Valve

  • Counter-Strike

    Counter-Strike (CS) is a series of multiplayer tactical first-person shooter video games, in which opposing teams attempt to complete various objectives. The series began on Windows in 1999 with the release of the first game, Counter-Strike. It was initially released as a mod for Half-Life that was designed by Minh Le and Jess Cliffe before the rights to the

  • Counter-Strike (video game)
    Counter-Strike (video game)

    Counter-Strike is a 2000 tactical first-person shooter game developed by Valve Corporation and published by Sierra Studios. It is the first installment in the Counter-Strike series.

  • Counterstrike (drum and bass group)

    Counterstrike is a drum and bass music producer duo from Cape Town consisting of Justin Scholtemeyer and Eaton Crous. They are considered to be one of the pioneers of the South African drum and bass scene. Counterstrike are known for their composition of raw, high-energy sound inspired by metal, techno and early techstep.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCS. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

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