Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this Team Falcons v Team Spirit BO3 at 100% YES, so the contract is effectively trading as if the win outcome is already locked in. For users holding USDC on Polygon, that means the conditional token tied to the winner side is being treated as fully settled in favour of a match result, rather than a cancellation or 50-50 fallback. The market description matters here: if the series is not completed, or is abandoned in a way that prevents a winner, resolution can still shift to the fallback path.
That extreme price needs reading against the competitive context rather than as a clean statement on team strength. Falcons and Spirit have a long head-to-head history, with recent results swinging both ways; search results show they met in March 2026 in a PGL series that Spirit won 2-1, while a separate DreamLeague Season 29 listing shows Falcons winning 2-1 on 16 May. Comparable BO3s between top-tier Dota 2 teams can move sharply on map-level momentum, but a 100% contract price is usually a function of confirmed results or very late information, not just pre-match form.
For a trader, the key catalysts are official match status, series completion, and any tournament schedule change. DreamLeague Season 29 is running online through 24 May under ESL, so stream delays, admin pauses, or bracket reshuffles can matter if they affect whether the BO3 is actually concluded inside the settlement window. Liquipedia, Sofascore, GosuGamers and the official broadcast listings are the most relevant live references; if the series has already been recorded as finished, the remaining risk is mainly settlement mechanics on-chain rather than the gameplay itself.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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