Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Burnley FC travel to Wolverhampton Wanderers on Sunday, 24 May 2026 in a final-day Premier League fixture. The Polymarket contract currently prices a Burnley victory at 28 per cent (0.28 USDC on Polygon), implying roughly a 72 per cent combined probability for a draw or Wolves win. Settlement occurs at 15:00 UTC on the scheduled match date, with conditional tokens resolving YES only if Burnley wins in 90 minutes of regular play.

Historical context suggests this probability reflects Wolves' recent competitive standing relative to Burnley. Over the past three seasons, Wolves have finished consistently higher in the league table and hold a marginally superior head-to-head record in recent encounters. Final-day matches often carry unpredictable dynamics—both sides' league position, European qualification status, and injury news become critical variables. If either club has already secured or been eliminated from European places by 24 May, motivation and team selection could shift substantially. Burnley's away form this season will be a key determinant; clubs finishing lower in the table typically struggle in hostile environments against mid-table opposition.

Traders should monitor team news releases in the week preceding the match, particularly injury updates for key players. Fixture congestion in late May may affect squad rotation decisions. Additionally, any late-season managerial changes or unexpected departures could alter tactical approach. Odds movements on secondary markets and betting exchanges often precede Polymarket repricing, offering early signals of shifting expectations among professional traders.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.