Jordan vs. Colombia - More Markets

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Jordan will face Colombia in a FIFA International Friendly on 7 June 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The current Polymarket pricing reflects 0% implied probability for "More Markets," meaning traders are pricing in no expectation of additional market contracts being created around this fixture. On-chain, this conditional token sits on Polygon with USDC settlement, dependent on whether Polymarket's operations team deploys supplementary markets—such as exact scorelines, player performance props, or half-time outcomes—before the settlement window closes on 7 June at 23:00 UTC.

Historical precedent suggests Polymarket's market proliferation varies by fixture prominence. Major tournaments and high-profile friendlies involving top-ten ranked nations typically trigger 8–15 secondary markets within 72 hours of initial listing. Jordan ranks 81st in the FIFA standings; Colombia sits 12th. The asymmetry in team profile and the friendly's low competitive stakes (neither side qualifies for major tournaments through this match) may explain trader scepticism about derivative market creation. Similar mid-tier friendlies in 2024–2025 saw limited secondary market expansion unless one participant was a traditional powerhouse.

The key catalyst remains Polymarket's internal scheduling decisions and user demand signals. If either nation experiences late squad announcements, injury withdrawals, or venue changes before 7 June, increased trading activity could prompt the platform to open additional markets. Conversely, if the fixture remains administratively quiet and attracts modest volume on the primary outcome markets, the operations team may allocate resources elsewhere, leaving the "More Markets" contract to settle NO.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.