Brazil vs. Morocco - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Brazil and Morocco will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 13 June at 6:00 PM ET. The market prices an exact-score outcome at 9% YES, meaning Polymarket traders currently assign roughly 1-in-11 odds to any single scoreline materialising. This reflects the inherent difficulty of pinpointing a precise result among dozens of plausible outcomes—even heavily favoured teams rarely settle matches at predictable margins. The conditional token structure on Polygon means traders holding YES tokens profit only if the final whistle shows one of the explicitly listed scores; any deviation triggers settlement to "Any Other Score," which currently commands 91% of implied probability across the contract.

Historical World Cup group-stage data shows Brazil averages 2.1 goals per match whilst Morocco's defensive record sits around 1.3 conceded per game. Brazil have won their last four meetings with African opposition by margins of 2–0 or wider, though Morocco's 2022 World Cup run to the semi-finals demonstrated improved tactical discipline. The 9% pricing aligns with typical Polymarket behaviour for exact-score markets in football: even when one team holds a 70–80% win probability, any single scoreline rarely exceeds 12–15% because outcomes distribute across multiple possibilities (1–0, 2–0, 2–1, 3–0, etc.).

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury reports closer to June, particularly Brazil's attacking depth and Morocco's goalkeeper fitness. Fixture congestion in the 2025–26 club season may affect player availability. The settlement window closes 22:00 UTC on 13 June, allowing roughly six hours post-match for official confirmation before USDC payouts execute on-chain.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.