PGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Winner

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Memorial Tournament presented by Workday takes place annually at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, typically in early June. The 2026 edition will run 4–7 June, with settlement occurring immediately following the final round. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 0% YES, reflecting either an unlisted player favoured to win or genuine uncertainty about field composition at settlement time. The conditional token structure on Polygon means traders holding YES positions only gain exposure if the specified player finishes first; any other outcome—including victory by an untracked competitor—triggers resolution to "Other," which carries distinct payoff mechanics from an outright NO.

Historically, the Memorial has produced winners across a broad talent spectrum. Between 2020 and 2024, victors included established names like Collin Morikawa and Scottie Scheffler alongside less-heralded performers, suggesting no single player commands overwhelming favourites status in advance. The tournament's prestige and mid-season timing mean field strength varies considerably year to year, particularly as PGA Tour scheduling intersects with major championship preparation and LIV Golf defections.

Key catalysts for traders include official field announcements (typically four weeks pre-tournament), injury disclosures affecting listed players, and any PGA Tour eligibility changes. Recent reporting from Golf Channel indicates the 2026 field will include most top-50 ranked players, though final confirmations remain pending. Withdrawal deadlines and weather forecasts closer to June will also influence implied probabilities, as will any late-season form shifts among listed competitors.

Methodology

We track PGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Winner on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.