Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% Enjoy | 0% Team Bald |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 10% Enjoy | 90% Team Bald |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Enjoy | 0% Team Bald |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% Enjoy | 0% Team Bald |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing Enjoy at **90%** on the USDC market settled through Polygon conditional tokens, so the contract is already carrying a heavy favourite bias before the opening draft is even locked in. The event is a best-of-three in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, and the market resolves to Enjoy only if they win the match; if the series is cancelled, ends level, or drifts beyond the seven-day window without a winner, holders are pushed to the 50-50 outcome instead.[1]
That sort of price is usually read less as a prediction of a clean sweep and more as a view that the bracket path, roster stability, and team strength all sit on Enjoy’s side. Comparable lower-bracket or qualifier markets in Dota 2 often trade near certainty once one side is seen as significantly stronger, but Bo3 volatility still matters because a single poor draft or early Roshan swing can flip a map and compress a supposed mismatch. Public match pages for this pairing also show limited recent head-to-head data, which tends to make the market lean more on current form and tournament context than on a deep rivalry record.[2][5][7]
For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: confirmed start time, whether the series is actually played on schedule, and any late roster or admin announcement from the organiser that could change the settlement path. Enjoy’s market can also move quickly if Team Bald arrive with visible momentum from earlier qualifier rounds, or if the match is rescheduled within the seven-day rule, because the contract’s outcome is tied to completion rather than just nominal fixture listing.[1][6][9]
Methodology
We track Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International… on Polymarket UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Polymarket UK →