Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing **Zero Tenacity vs summer bear** at **0% YES** on a contract settled in USDC on Polygon, so the market is effectively saying there is no remaining path to a Zero Tenacity payout before the settlement window closes. In practical terms, a hands-on Polymarket user is trading the conditional token against the match outcome, with the contract resolving to Zero Tenacity if they win, summer bear if they lose, and a 50-50 outcome if the match is not completed, is cancelled, or is delayed beyond seven days.

The current read sits against a fairly lopsided competitive backdrop. Liquipedia’s season standings show Zero Tenacity finished the group stage top of the table at 5-0, while summer bear were third at 2-3, which is the sort of seeding gap that usually anchors pre-match pricing in bracket play.[2] Public scoreboards also indicate the pair have already met in this playoff run, with DLTV recording a 2-1 win for Zero Tenacity and GosuGamers listing the same BO3 as a live series that ended 1:2 in Zero Tenacity’s favour, reinforcing why a market can flatten to the floor once a result is in or heavily anticipated.[1][4]

For traders watching the final hours, the key catalysts are procedural rather than tactical: whether the official bracket confirms the match as played, whether the series is completed inside the settlement window, and whether any reschedule pushes it into the 50-50 clause. Sofascore lists the playoff fixture as starting at 12:00 UTC, while the market description places it at 8:00AM ET, so timestamp alignment matters when checking for a valid start versus a delay or abandoned series.[3] In a contract like this, the decisive inputs are the tournament feed, final scoreline, and any organiser announcement about walkovers, pauses, or postponements.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.