Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket UK Pick polygram.ink |
78% | 22% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
78% | 22% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket UK.
Active sub-markets
| England (-1.5) | 78% England | 22% Costa Rica |
| Costa Rica (-1.5) | 0% Costa Rica | 100% England |
| England (-2.5) | 47% England | 54% Costa Rica |
| Costa Rica (-2.5) | 0% Costa Rica | 100% England |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 90% Over | 11% Under |
Market context
England face Costa Rica in a FIFA International Friendly on 10 June at 4:00 PM ET, with Polymarket currently pricing the "More Markets" contract at 78% implied probability. This settlement hinges on whether additional betting markets will be offered for the fixture—a technical outcome tied to exchange liquidity decisions rather than the match result itself. The USDC-denominated conditional token on Polygon reflects trader expectations that sufficient volume and interest will justify market expansion beyond the primary outcome contracts.
Historical precedent suggests friendly matches between established national teams typically generate secondary market activity. England fixtures, particularly those scheduled during international breaks, have consistently attracted derivative markets covering goal-scorer props, corner counts, and card totals. The 78% probability reflects confidence that a match between two FIFA-ranked sides will meet Polymarket's liquidity thresholds, though friendlies carry inherent unpredictability compared to competitive tournaments where market infrastructure is pre-established.
Key catalysts include official team sheet releases, which typically arrive 24 hours before kickoff and influence trader appetite for granular markets. Squad announcements from the Football Association and Costa Rican federation will signal injury status and competitive intent—friendly matches sometimes feature experimental lineups that dampen trading interest. Polymarket's own operational capacity and recent platform activity across football fixtures will determine whether the exchange allocates resources to expand this particular card. Recent international friendlies have shown variable secondary market uptake depending on participating nations' ranking and fixture timing within the calendar.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $389K.
Methodology
This page reviews England vs. Costa Rica - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?
- Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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