Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Canada and Bosnia-Herzegovina will meet in a World Cup group stage fixture on 12 June 2026, with the match kicking off at 3:00 PM ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices an exact-score outcome at 10% YES, reflecting the conditional token mechanics on Polygon where USDC settlement occurs only if the final whistle produces one of the explicitly listed scorelines. Any deviation—whether 1–0, 2–1, or any unlisted combination—routes settlement to "Any Other Score," which absorbs the remaining 90% of liquidity.

Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in World Cup group stages typically concentrate probability mass on low-scoring results. Canada's 2022 World Cup campaign saw them concede heavily (four goals in three matches) whilst struggling to score, whilst Bosnia-Herzegovina qualified for the 2018 tournament but failed to advance from their group. Neither side has demonstrated consistent attacking potency at tournament level, making 0–0, 1–0, and 1–1 outcomes statistically more frequent than high-scoring draws or decisive margins. The 10% pricing implies traders view the specific scoreline as a tail event relative to the broader distribution of possible results.

Fixture scheduling and squad availability will shape trader positioning through June. Canada's preparation intensity and any late injury announcements to key players—particularly their attacking contingent—merit monitoring. Bosnia-Herzegovina's qualification pathway and final roster decisions remain fluid until official squad sheets are confirmed. Weather conditions in the host nation and group stage dynamics (whether either side enters needing a specific result) could influence tactical approach and final scoreline, though such catalysts remain distant relative to the settlement window's closure on 12 June at 19:00 UTC.

Methodology

This page reviews Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.