LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Forsaken and Karmine Corp Blue are scheduled to contest a best-of-three League of Legends decider match in EMEA Masters Group B on 12 June at 11:00 AM ET. The winner advances; the loser is eliminated from the tournament. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 0% YES, implying zero probability that Forsaken prevail. This extreme pricing reflects either overwhelming confidence in Karmine Corp Blue's superiority or insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful market price. The settlement window closes on 13 June at 00:10 UTC, allowing roughly 13 hours post-match for resolution.

EMEA Masters functions as a secondary-tier competitive circuit for European and regional teams. Karmine Corp, the parent organisation, has historically fielded competitive rosters across multiple regions, whilst Forsaken operates as a smaller challenger team. Historical matchups between established organisations and emerging squads in this format typically favour the former, though upsets occur when preparation gaps narrow or meta shifts favour unconventional strategies. The 0% pricing may reflect prior head-to-head records or perceived roster strength disparity.

Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters scheduling confirmations and any roster announcements closer to the fixture date. Patch changes deployed before 12 June could alter champion viability and team preparation timelines. Cancellations, technical delays exceeding seven days, or incomplete matches trigger 50-50 resolution per market terms. Current liquidity constraints appear to be suppressing price discovery; meaningful YES-side entry could shift the contract significantly if Forsaken's preparation or meta positioning proves competitive.

Methodology

We track LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.