LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket currently prices KT Rolster's victory at 46%, implying Dplus KIA as slight favourites at 54% on the conditional token structure. The lower bracket quarterfinal between these two LCK organisations will determine who advances in the Road to MSI tournament, with the match scheduled for 7 June at 04:00 ET. Settlement hinges on match completion by 14 June; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved delay beyond seven days triggers a 50-50 split of the USDC pool across both conditional tokens on Polygon.

KT Rolster and Dplus KIA occupy comparable tiers within the LCK's competitive hierarchy, making historical head-to-head records a useful baseline. Over the past two years, these teams have exchanged wins in regular season fixtures without establishing clear dominance, though Dplus KIA's recent playoff performances have been marginally more consistent. The 46% probability reflects genuine uncertainty rather than dismissal of KT's chances; in best-of-five formats, momentum shifts and draft flexibility often override seeding expectations.

Traders should monitor roster announcements and practice scrim results in the week preceding the match, as mid-season roster adjustments remain possible in the LCK. Injury reports or last-minute coaching changes could shift the conditional token pricing materially. The match timing—early morning ET—may also influence liquidity patterns on Polygon, as European and Asian trading windows overlap during settlement hours.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket UK?

Zero. Polymarket UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.