Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Columbus Crew (-1.5) | 91% YES | 10% NO |
| Columbus Crew (-2.5) | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Atlanta United FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 4% YES | 96% NO |
Market context
Columbus Crew will face Atlanta United FC on 24 May at 5:00 PM ET in an MLS regular-season fixture. Polymarket currently prices the "More Markets" contract at 51% YES, reflecting near-even odds that additional derivative markets will open for this match before settlement closes at 21:00 UTC on match day. The contract trades on Polygon as USDC-denominated conditional tokens, settling 1.0 if supplementary markets launch, 0.0 otherwise.
Historical precedent suggests MLS matches between mid-table clubs generate modest secondary-market appetite. Columbus and Atlanta occupy similar competitive tiers—neither consistently draws the liquidity volume of El Tráfico or Cascadia derbies—yet both franchises maintain sufficient supporter bases to justify multi-market offerings on established platforms. Comparable fixtures from the 2024 season show roughly 55–60% of regular-season games eventually spawned additional markets beyond the primary match outcome, though timing varies considerably depending on fixture prominence and platform operator scheduling decisions.
The critical catalyst remains Polymarket's internal market-creation workflow and any announcements from MLS regarding broadcast prominence or fixture scheduling changes. Settlement hinges on whether platform operators deem sufficient trader demand to justify deploying additional conditional tokens (such as first-goal scorer, total shots, or half-time outcomes) before kickoff. Recent MLS fixtures have seen market expansion occur 24–48 hours before match time, though some remain limited to primary outcomes. Traders should monitor Polymarket's market feed and official MLS communications for any fixture reclassification that might influence platform prioritisation.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $191K.
Methodology
We track Columbus Crew vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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