Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Kashiwa Reysol (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Kashiwa Reysol will face JEF United Ichihara Chiba on 23 May 2026 in a J1 League fixture, with kickoff scheduled for 5:00 AM ET. The market currently trades at 100% YES on Polymarket, indicating that traders expect additional conditional markets to be created for this match. On-chain, this contract settles via USDC on Polygon; the YES token resolves affirmatively if Polymarket's team publishes supplementary markets—such as first goalscorer, exact score, or player performance props—alongside the standard match outcome markets.
Historical precedent suggests that J1 League fixtures between established clubs typically attract expanded market offerings. Polymarket has consistently deployed conditional token clusters for top-flight Japanese football matches involving sides with substantial supporter bases and trading volume. Both Kashiwa Reysol and JEF United Ichihara Chiba maintain regional followings that have driven liquidity in prior seasons, making the infrastructure for additional markets economically viable for the platform.
Traders should monitor Polymarket's official announcements and the J1 League's fixture confirmation closer to the settlement window. Any postponement, venue change, or scheduling adjustment could delay market creation. The 23 May date falls within the standard J1 season calendar, and no recent disruptions have been reported affecting fixture scheduling. Settlement closes 23 May at 09:00 UTC, allowing a four-hour window after the match concludes for market creation and resolution.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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